Fei Xie

In recent years, high-frequency trading has become increasingly popular in financial markets, making the dynamic modeling of the limit book and the optimization of market maker strategies become key topics. However, existing studies often lacked detailed descriptions of order books and failed to fully characterize the optimal decisions of market makers in complex market environments, especially in China’s A-share market. Based on Markov queue theory, this paper proposes the dynamic model of the limit order and the optimal strategy of the market maker. The model uses a state transition probability matrix to refine the market diffusion state, order generation, and trading process and incorporates indicators such as optimal quote deviation and restricted order trading probability. Then, the optimal control model is constructed and the reference strategy is derived using the Hamilton–Jacobi–Bellman (HJB) equation. Then, the key parameters are estimated using the high-frequency data of Ping An Bank for a single trading day. In the empirical aspect, the six-month high-frequency trading data of 114 representative stocks in different market states such as the bull market and bear market in China’s A-share market were selected for strategy verification. The results showed that the proposed strategy had robust returns and stable profits in the bull market and that frequent capture of market fluctuations in the bear market can earn relatively high returns while maintaining 50% of the order coverage rate and 66% of the stable order winning rate. Our study used Markov queuing theory to describe the state and price dynamics of the limit order book in detail and used optimization methods to construct and solve the optimal market maker strategy. The empirical aspect broadens the empirical scope of market maker strategies in the Chinese market and studies the stability and effectiveness of market makers in different market states.

Against the backdrop of global climate change and sustainable development, carbon emissions within transnational closed-loop supply chains have become a critical area of research. This paper utilizes a Stackelberg game model to analyze the relationship between a single export manufacturer and an import retailer. The study investigates the optimal solutions of the supply chain model—wholesale price, retail price, sales volume, and profit—across three consumer preference scenarios: no obvious preference, pure green preference, and pure new preference. Furthermore, this paper examines the impact of carbon emissions per unit of product on supply chain decision-making under two scenarios: with and without carbon trading. Carbon trading, which significantly increases unit costs, exerts a profound influence on the strategic decisions of both manufacturers and retailers. In addition, this paper incorporates carbon tariffs and taxes into its analysis, providing a theoretical foundation for governments and policymakers to promote sustainable production and consumption practices. The validity of the model is confirmed through numerical simulations, which reveal that under pure green and pure new preference scenarios, original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) are more inclined to invest in emissions reduction to minimize tariff costs. In contrast, under no obvious preference scenarios, OEMs are more likely to adjust product portfolios to evade carbon tariffs. This research advances the understanding of low-carbon production strategies in transnational supply chains, offering both theoretical insights and practical guidance for balancing economic and environmental objectives.

We propose a novel investment decision strategy (IDS) based on deep learning. The performance of many IDSs is affected by stock similarity. Most existing stock similarity measurements have the problems: (a) The linear nature of many measurements cannot capture nonlinear stock dynamics; (b) The estimation of many similarity metrics (e.g. covariance) needs very long period historic data (e.g. 3K days) which cannot represent current market effectively; (c) They cannot capture translation-invariance. To solve these problems, we apply Convolutional AutoEncoder to learn a stock representation, based on which we propose a novel portfolio construction strategy by: (i) using the deeply learned representation and modularity optimisation to cluster stocks and identify diverse sectors, (ii) picking stocks within each cluster according to their Sharpe ratio (Sharpe 1994). Overall this strategy provides low-risk high-return portfolios. We use the Financial Times Stock Exchange 100 Index (FTSE 100) data for evaluation. Results show our portfolio outperforms FTSE 100 index and many well known funds in terms of total return in 2000 trading days.