Yeaeun Han

Background/Objectives: Scaphoid fractures are notorious for a high rate of nonunion, resulting in chronic pain and impaired wrist function. The decision for surgical intervention often involves extensive imaging and prolonged conservative management, leading to delays in definitive treatment. The effectiveness of such treatment remains a subject of ongoing clinical debate, with no universally accepted predictive tool for surgical success. The objective of this study was to train a deep learning algorithm to reliably identify cases of nonunion with a high probability of subsequent union following operative revision. Methods: This study utilized a comprehensive database of 346 patients diagnosed with scaphoid nonunions, with preoperative and postoperative X-rays available for analysis. A classical logistic regression for clinical parameters was used, as well as a TensorFlow deep learning algorithm on X-rays. The latter was developed and applied to these imaging datasets to predict the likelihood of surgical success based solely on the preoperative anteroposterior (AP) X-ray view. The model was trained and validated over six epochs to optimize its predictive accuracy. Results: The logistic regression yielded an accuracy of 66.3% in predicting the surgical outcome based on patient parameters. The deep learning model demonstrated remarkable predictive accuracy, achieving a success rate of 93.6%, suggesting its potential as a reliable tool for guiding clinical decision-making in scaphoid nonunion management. Conclusions: The findings of this study indicate that the preoperative AP X-ray of a scaphoid nonunion provides sufficient information to predict the likelihood of surgical success when analyzed using our deep learning model. This approach has the potential to streamline decision-making and reduce reliance on extensive imaging and prolonged conservative treatment.