Ivan S. Nekrasov
Current Organizations / Institutes
The organizations/institutes from the scholar's latest article
Research Subjects
Ivan S. Nekrasov has a total of 26 co-authors. Here are the top co-authors by number of shared publications:
- Alexey A. Gorodov
Department of Technological Machines and Equipment of Oil and Gas Complex, School of Petroleum and Natural Gas Engineering, Siberian Federal University, 660041 Krasnoyarsk, Russia
6 shared publications - Alexander V. Zagulyaev
Department of Technological Machines and Equipment of Oil and Gas Complex, Siberian Federal University, 660041 Krasnoyarsk, Russia
5 shared publications - Kirill Aleksandrovich Bashmur
Department of Technological Machines and Equipment of Oil and Gas Complex, Siberian Federal University, 660041 Krasnoyarsk, Russia
5 shared publications - Vladimir Viktorovich Bukhtoyarov
Bauman Moscow State Technical University, Moscow, Russian Federation
5 shared publications - Artyom Y. Mikhailov2 shared publications
- Elena V. Tsygankova
Department of Foreign Languages for Natural Sciences, Siberian Federal University, 660041 Krasnoyarsk, Russia
2 shared publications
Latest Publications
- Open Access
- 11 November 2026
- Published by MDPI AG in Journal of Manufacturing and Materials Processing
- Vol. 10 (11) , 499
Rotary Burnishing of Internal Tube Surfaces with a Preloaded Compliant Crown: A Force–Geometry–Compliance Model and Parametric Sensitivity Analysis
A reduced model of internal rotary burnishing couples Hertz–expanding-cavity indentation, Euler–Bernoulli crown bending and loading-chain compression through incremental equilibrium from preload. The resulting residual geometry supplies an in-service contact model. In the reference numerical case with a steel crown and an Al–Cu–Mg tube, 20 of additional travel from a 20 N preload gives a total force of 408 N, a maximum penetration of 14.1 and an edge-to-centre residual sag of 2.70 . Indentation, crown bending and loading-chain compression account for 60.9%, 19.7% and 19.4% of this travel, respectively. The two process-derived cells have texture area fractions of 0.03–0.04 and specific cavity volumes of 0.05–0.07 . In a separate mm periodic-contact benchmark at 5 MPa, the directly integrated rough-land approach is 1.07 , compared with a smooth-contact rigid-plane offset of 2.85 nm. Global sensitivity identifies yield strength as the leading input for residual sag (total-order Sobol index ); total-force sensitivity is greatest for preload, followed by crown thickness. With the Hertz–expanding-cavity transition markers fixed, the prescribed calibration-uncertainty distributions give Monte Carlo 5th–95th percentile intervals of 2.2–3.3 for residual sag and 387–426 N for total force. Variance reductions obtained by fixing individual inputs in this calibration scenario identify yield strength as the main calibration priority for residual geometry, and loading-chain stiffness and local crown thickness as priorities for force transfer.- 11 November 2026
- Published by MDPI AG in Journal of Manufacturing and Materials Processing
- Vol. 10 (11) , 499
Open AccessRotary Burnishing of Internal Tube Surfaces with a Preloaded Compliant Crown: A Force–Geometry–Compliance Model and Parametric Sensitivity Analysis
A reduced model of internal rotary burnishing couples Hertz–expanding-cavity indentation, Euler–Bernoulli crown bending and loading-chain compression through incremental equilibrium from preload. The resulting residual geometry supplies an in-service contact model. In the reference numerical case with a steel crown and an Al–Cu–Mg tube, 20 of additional travel from a 20 N preload gives a total force of 408 N, a maximum penetration of 14.1 and an edge-to-centre residual sag of 2.70 . Indentation, crown bending and loading-chain compression account for 60.9%, 19.7% and 19.4% of this travel, respectively. The two process-derived cells have texture area fractions of 0.03–0.04 and specific cavity volumes of 0.05–0.07 . In a separate mm periodic-contact benchmark at 5 MPa, the directly integrated rough-land approach is 1.07 , compared with a smooth-contact rigid-plane offset of 2.85 nm. Global sensitivity identifies yield strength as the leading input for residual sag (total-order Sobol index ); total-force sensitivity is greatest for preload, followed by crown thickness. With the Hertz–expanding-cavity transition markers fixed, the prescribed calibration-uncertainty distributions give Monte Carlo 5th–95th percentile intervals of 2.2–3.3 for residual sag and 387–426 N for total force. Variance reductions obtained by fixing individual inputs in this calibration scenario identify yield strength as the main calibration priority for residual geometry, and loading-chain stiffness and local crown thickness as priorities for force transfer. - Open Access
Contact-Time and Relaxation Effects on the Normal Response of Polymer-Coated Internal Cylindrical Surfaces with Deterministic Microtexture: A Layered Viscoelastic Contact Model
Deterministic microtexture and viscoelastic coating deformation affect the normal response of polymer-coated internal cylindrical surfaces. An additive model separates statistical land roughness, deterministic Fourier displacement, and the coated-minus-bare periodic-cell increment. Half-space (HS) and finite-thickness (FT) single-asperity laws describe the same prescribed summit population for isolated imprints (class A) and a connected helical groove (class B). At 1 MPa, the relaxed texture factor exceeds the instantaneous factor for both classes, and class A exceeds class B. Across the sampled open-contact states, secant and tangent stiffness increase sublinearly with pressure; tangent stiffness exceeds secant stiffness, and relaxation reduces both. Substrate confinement lowers the class A instantaneous total normal approach from 1.626 m in HS to 1.139 m in FT and its instantaneous-to-relaxed increase from 3.23% to 1.27%. For both texture classes in the FT branch, the total normal approach remains below the residual texture depth at all evaluated states and nominal pressures in the range 0.1–5 MPa. Prescribed azimuthal pressure patterns retain their stiffness-spread ranking across classes and elastic endpoints. For a relaxation time of 250 s, a fixed-location hold of 0.509 ms develops approximately 84% of the endpoint change in the hereditary FT base approach and increases the total approach by 1.07% relative to its instantaneous value. Local hereditary histories also resolve surface recovery during unloading. With component-level verification, the framework supports comparisons of texture, confinement and loading duration while identifying intercomponent coupling as a question for a fully coupled reference solution.Open AccessContact-Time and Relaxation Effects on the Normal Response of Polymer-Coated Internal Cylindrical Surfaces with Deterministic Microtexture: A Layered Viscoelastic Contact Model
Deterministic microtexture and viscoelastic coating deformation affect the normal response of polymer-coated internal cylindrical surfaces. An additive model separates statistical land roughness, deterministic Fourier displacement, and the coated-minus-bare periodic-cell increment. Half-space (HS) and finite-thickness (FT) single-asperity laws describe the same prescribed summit population for isolated imprints (class A) and a connected helical groove (class B). At 1 MPa, the relaxed texture factor exceeds the instantaneous factor for both classes, and class A exceeds class B. Across the sampled open-contact states, secant and tangent stiffness increase sublinearly with pressure; tangent stiffness exceeds secant stiffness, and relaxation reduces both. Substrate confinement lowers the class A instantaneous total normal approach from 1.626 m in HS to 1.139 m in FT and its instantaneous-to-relaxed increase from 3.23% to 1.27%. For both texture classes in the FT branch, the total normal approach remains below the residual texture depth at all evaluated states and nominal pressures in the range 0.1–5 MPa. Prescribed azimuthal pressure patterns retain their stiffness-spread ranking across classes and elastic endpoints. For a relaxation time of 250 s, a fixed-location hold of 0.509 ms develops approximately 84% of the endpoint change in the hereditary FT base approach and increases the total approach by 1.07% relative to its instantaneous value. Local hereditary histories also resolve surface recovery during unloading. With component-level verification, the framework supports comparisons of texture, confinement and loading duration while identifying intercomponent coupling as a question for a fully coupled reference solution. - Open Access
- 25 August 2026
- Published by MDPI AG in Applied System Innovation
- Vol. 9 (9) , 173
Two-Phase Multi-Objective Inverse Design of Rotary Burnishing Regimes and Compliant-Roller Tools: Full-Factorial Grid Enumeration and NSGA-II
The design of regular microreliefs requires process and tool variables that satisfy surface-coverage, lubricant-retention, and residual-depth requirements. This theoretical and computational study formulates the task as a two-objective inverse problem for rigid-ball burnishing of external cylinders and compliant-roller burnishing of internal tubes. The analytical chain maps force or imposed displacement and relative curvature to indentation, elastic recovery, periodic cavity overlap, relative dimple area , and specific oil capacity q. A full-factorial grid generates a discrete catalog of process settings and provides the initial seeds for continuous refinement by the non-dominated sorting genetic algorithm II (NSGA-II). Under a common budget of 648 forward evaluations, the two-phase method achieved of the median target-centered hypervolume of pure NSGA-II and produced a higher hypervolume than Latin hypercube sampling (LHS) in eight of ten paired runs. A comparison calibrated at the 200 N data point yielded a held-out axial-width error of at 400 N, consistent with the predicted force–width trend under the stated comparison conditions. Morris screening identified imposed displacement as the most influential variable for both objectives, with crown-base thickness also strongly influencing q. The resulting candidates are illustrative model-based solutions that satisfy the stated constraints and lie within the reference machine-coordinate envelope; process-specific calibration and experimental assessment are required before quantitative implementation.- 25 August 2026
- Published by MDPI AG in Applied System Innovation
- Vol. 9 (9) , 173
Open AccessTwo-Phase Multi-Objective Inverse Design of Rotary Burnishing Regimes and Compliant-Roller Tools: Full-Factorial Grid Enumeration and NSGA-II
The design of regular microreliefs requires process and tool variables that satisfy surface-coverage, lubricant-retention, and residual-depth requirements. This theoretical and computational study formulates the task as a two-objective inverse problem for rigid-ball burnishing of external cylinders and compliant-roller burnishing of internal tubes. The analytical chain maps force or imposed displacement and relative curvature to indentation, elastic recovery, periodic cavity overlap, relative dimple area , and specific oil capacity q. A full-factorial grid generates a discrete catalog of process settings and provides the initial seeds for continuous refinement by the non-dominated sorting genetic algorithm II (NSGA-II). Under a common budget of 648 forward evaluations, the two-phase method achieved of the median target-centered hypervolume of pure NSGA-II and produced a higher hypervolume than Latin hypercube sampling (LHS) in eight of ten paired runs. A comparison calibrated at the 200 N data point yielded a held-out axial-width error of at 400 N, consistent with the predicted force–width trend under the stated comparison conditions. Morris screening identified imposed displacement as the most influential variable for both objectives, with crown-base thickness also strongly influencing q. The resulting candidates are illustrative model-based solutions that satisfy the stated constraints and lie within the reference machine-coordinate envelope; process-specific calibration and experimental assessment are required before quantitative implementation. - Open Access
- 19 August 2026
- Published by MDPI AG in Technologies
- Vol. 14 (8) , 514
Force–Depth–Stiffness Modeling of Rotary Ball-Burnished Dimples on an External Cylinder for Adaptive Guideway Stiffness Mapping
This study develops a theoretical and computational mechanics framework for regular dimples produced by rotary ball burnishing on an external cylindrical surface. The model combines the local quadratic ball–cylinder gap, an effective mean indentation pressure , an unloading factor , residual dimple geometry, a Greenwood–Williamson pressure–approach law for the load-bearing lands, and an elastic spectral reference calculation. The dimple area fraction is obtained from the periodic union of loaded-imprint footprints for the nominal stiffness maps, whereas the residual profile determines the specific oil capacity, defined as retained cavity volume per unit nominal area. Numerical checks include algebraic consistency, mesh-converged periodic FFT-BEM calculations, and a separate sinusoidal benchmark. For a representative ball and cylinder with , the model maps burnishing force and texture pitch to idle- and working-pressure secant stiffness. Within the stated range , the low-fidelity index preserves the ordering of all evaluated non-tied design points; the mean and maximum differences from the spectral reference are and . A discrete force–pitch grid yields three feasible points under illustrative stiffness windows and two candidates after non-dominated sorting and secondary selection by specific oil capacity. The selected textures reduce idle-pressure stiffness slightly more than working-pressure stiffness, increasing the nonlinearity ratio from to . The framework provides a reproducible model-based tool for preliminary force–pitch selection; application to a specific material–process pair requires identification of , , and the load-bearing-land response and validation against process-specific measurements.- 19 August 2026
- Published by MDPI AG in Technologies
- Vol. 14 (8) , 514
Open AccessForce–Depth–Stiffness Modeling of Rotary Ball-Burnished Dimples on an External Cylinder for Adaptive Guideway Stiffness Mapping
This study develops a theoretical and computational mechanics framework for regular dimples produced by rotary ball burnishing on an external cylindrical surface. The model combines the local quadratic ball–cylinder gap, an effective mean indentation pressure , an unloading factor , residual dimple geometry, a Greenwood–Williamson pressure–approach law for the load-bearing lands, and an elastic spectral reference calculation. The dimple area fraction is obtained from the periodic union of loaded-imprint footprints for the nominal stiffness maps, whereas the residual profile determines the specific oil capacity, defined as retained cavity volume per unit nominal area. Numerical checks include algebraic consistency, mesh-converged periodic FFT-BEM calculations, and a separate sinusoidal benchmark. For a representative ball and cylinder with , the model maps burnishing force and texture pitch to idle- and working-pressure secant stiffness. Within the stated range , the low-fidelity index preserves the ordering of all evaluated non-tied design points; the mean and maximum differences from the spectral reference are and . A discrete force–pitch grid yields three feasible points under illustrative stiffness windows and two candidates after non-dominated sorting and secondary selection by specific oil capacity. The selected textures reduce idle-pressure stiffness slightly more than working-pressure stiffness, increasing the nonlinearity ratio from to . The framework provides a reproducible model-based tool for preliminary force–pitch selection; application to a specific material–process pair requires identification of , , and the load-bearing-land response and validation against process-specific measurements. - Open Access
- 4 August 2026
- Published by MDPI AG in Mathematical and Computational Applications
- Vol. 31 (4) , 155
Rotary Burnishing of Cylindrical Surfaces: Kinematic Layout, Relative Curvature Tensor, and Contact-Conformity Classification
Rotary and vibro-rotary burnishing create regular arrays of imprints whose geometric interaction depends on the pitch, indentation depth, and relative curvature of the tool–workpiece pair. This paper develops a unified kinematic–curvature model that maps machine settings to an imprint layout on the unwrapped cylindrical surface and constructs the relative curvature tensor. The tensor state and full normalized neighbor metric assign the contact state to one of four mutually exclusive categories: non-elliptic, cell-limited, near-conformal (warning), or isolated elliptic. The tensor formulation is invariant under rotation of the tangent basis and provides a common geometric mapping for external cylinders and internal tubes. The kinematic map and tensor classification are independent of the rigid-plastic mean-pressure approximation and are verified by the factor relation between the center-line slope and imprint orientation, tensor invariance, limiting cases, and a closed-form identity. The calibrated approximation is used solely to estimate the maximum-load penetration and an equivalent projected footprint. At a fixed normal force and effective hardness, the projected area is identical in all curvature cases, whereas the curvature changes the penetration and footprint aspect ratio. Neglecting the workpiece curvature underestimates the external cylinder indentation depth by about 5.8% relative to the full tensor calculation; this ratio is independent of the force and effective hardness within the approximation. For the stated internal tube row pitch and hardness, the axis-aligned cell-limited transition force is 5–8 N. Evaluation with the full metric shows that the consecutive-event vectors are separated well; the periodic-row neighbor nevertheless places the reference case in the cell-limited class. A closed-form expression for this transition force is derived. The model provides a transition criterion verified by analytical identity and consistency checks; residual geometry and post-threshold pressure redistribution require unloading calibration and a periodic unilateral contact formulation, respectively.
- 4 August 2026
- Published by MDPI AG in Mathematical and Computational Applications
- Vol. 31 (4) , 155
Open AccessRotary Burnishing of Cylindrical Surfaces: Kinematic Layout, Relative Curvature Tensor, and Contact-Conformity Classification
Rotary and vibro-rotary burnishing create regular arrays of imprints whose geometric interaction depends on the pitch, indentation depth, and relative curvature of the tool–workpiece pair. This paper develops a unified kinematic–curvature model that maps machine settings to an imprint layout on the unwrapped cylindrical surface and constructs the relative curvature tensor. The tensor state and full normalized neighbor metric assign the contact state to one of four mutually exclusive categories: non-elliptic, cell-limited, near-conformal (warning), or isolated elliptic. The tensor formulation is invariant under rotation of the tangent basis and provides a common geometric mapping for external cylinders and internal tubes. The kinematic map and tensor classification are independent of the rigid-plastic mean-pressure approximation and are verified by the factor relation between the center-line slope and imprint orientation, tensor invariance, limiting cases, and a closed-form identity. The calibrated approximation is used solely to estimate the maximum-load penetration and an equivalent projected footprint. At a fixed normal force and effective hardness, the projected area is identical in all curvature cases, whereas the curvature changes the penetration and footprint aspect ratio. Neglecting the workpiece curvature underestimates the external cylinder indentation depth by about 5.8% relative to the full tensor calculation; this ratio is independent of the force and effective hardness within the approximation. For the stated internal tube row pitch and hardness, the axis-aligned cell-limited transition force is 5–8 N. Evaluation with the full metric shows that the consecutive-event vectors are separated well; the periodic-row neighbor nevertheless places the reference case in the cell-limited class. A closed-form expression for this transition force is derived. The model provides a transition criterion verified by analytical identity and consistency checks; residual geometry and post-threshold pressure redistribution require unloading calibration and a periodic unilateral contact formulation, respectively.
- 14 June 2026
- Published by Springer Nature
- p. 378-390
A Hybrid Model for Predicting Petroleum Coke Quality Based on Feedstock Composition and Process Parameters
- 14 June 2026
- Published by Springer Nature
- p. 378-390
A Hybrid Model for Predicting Petroleum Coke Quality Based on Feedstock Composition and Process Parameters
- Open Access
Dynamic Modeling and Calibration of an Industrial Delayed Coking Drum Model for Digital Twin Applications
The increasing share of heavy and high-sulfur crude oils in refinery feed slates worldwide highlights the need for models of delayed coking units (DCUs) that are both physically meaningful and computationally efficient. In this study, we develop and calibrate a simplified yet dynamic one-dimensional model of an industrial coke drum intended for integration into digital twin frameworks. The model includes a three-phase representation of the drum contents, a temperature-dependent global kinetic scheme for vacuum residue cracking, and lumped descriptions of heat transfer and phase holdups. Only three physically interpretable parameters—the kinetic scaling factors for distillate and coke formation and an effective wall temperature—were calibrated using routinely measured plant data, namely the overhead vapor and drum head temperatures and the final coke bed height. The calibrated model reproduces the temporal evolution of the top head and overhead temperatures and the final bed height with mean relative errors of a few percent, while capturing the more complex bottom-head temperature dynamics qualitatively. Scenario simulations illustrate how the coking severity (represented here by the effective wall temperature) affects the coke yield, bed growth, and cycle duration. Overall, the results indicate that low-order dynamic models can provide a practical balance between physical fidelity and computational speed, making them suitable as mechanistic cores for digital twins and optimization tools in delayed coking operations.
Open AccessDynamic Modeling and Calibration of an Industrial Delayed Coking Drum Model for Digital Twin Applications
The increasing share of heavy and high-sulfur crude oils in refinery feed slates worldwide highlights the need for models of delayed coking units (DCUs) that are both physically meaningful and computationally efficient. In this study, we develop and calibrate a simplified yet dynamic one-dimensional model of an industrial coke drum intended for integration into digital twin frameworks. The model includes a three-phase representation of the drum contents, a temperature-dependent global kinetic scheme for vacuum residue cracking, and lumped descriptions of heat transfer and phase holdups. Only three physically interpretable parameters—the kinetic scaling factors for distillate and coke formation and an effective wall temperature—were calibrated using routinely measured plant data, namely the overhead vapor and drum head temperatures and the final coke bed height. The calibrated model reproduces the temporal evolution of the top head and overhead temperatures and the final bed height with mean relative errors of a few percent, while capturing the more complex bottom-head temperature dynamics qualitatively. Scenario simulations illustrate how the coking severity (represented here by the effective wall temperature) affects the coke yield, bed growth, and cycle duration. Overall, the results indicate that low-order dynamic models can provide a practical balance between physical fidelity and computational speed, making them suitable as mechanistic cores for digital twins and optimization tools in delayed coking operations.
- Open Access
A Physics-Informed Combinatorial Digital Twin for Value-Optimized Production of Petroleum Coke
Petroleum coke quality strongly influences refinery economics and downstream energy use, yet real-time control is constrained by slow quality assays and a 24–48 h lag in laboratory results. This study introduces a physics-informed combinatorial digital twin for value-optimized coking, aimed at improving energy efficiency and environmental performance through adaptive quality forecasting. The approach builds a modular library of 32 candidate equations grouped into eight quality parameters and links them via cross-parameter dependencies. A two-level optimization scheme is applied: a genetic algorithm selects the best model combination, while a secondary loop tunes parameters under a multi-objective fitness function balancing accuracy, interpretability, and computational cost. Validation on five clustered operating regimes (industrial patterns augmented with noise-perturbed synthetic data) shows that optimal model ensembles outperform single best models, achieving typical cluster errors of ~7–13% NMAE. The developed digital twin framework enables accurate prediction of coke quality parameters that are critical for its energy applications, such as volatile matter and sulfur content, which serve as direct proxies for estimating the net calorific value and environmental footprint of coke as a fuel.
Open AccessA Physics-Informed Combinatorial Digital Twin for Value-Optimized Production of Petroleum Coke
Petroleum coke quality strongly influences refinery economics and downstream energy use, yet real-time control is constrained by slow quality assays and a 24–48 h lag in laboratory results. This study introduces a physics-informed combinatorial digital twin for value-optimized coking, aimed at improving energy efficiency and environmental performance through adaptive quality forecasting. The approach builds a modular library of 32 candidate equations grouped into eight quality parameters and links them via cross-parameter dependencies. A two-level optimization scheme is applied: a genetic algorithm selects the best model combination, while a secondary loop tunes parameters under a multi-objective fitness function balancing accuracy, interpretability, and computational cost. Validation on five clustered operating regimes (industrial patterns augmented with noise-perturbed synthetic data) shows that optimal model ensembles outperform single best models, achieving typical cluster errors of ~7–13% NMAE. The developed digital twin framework enables accurate prediction of coke quality parameters that are critical for its energy applications, such as volatile matter and sulfur content, which serve as direct proxies for estimating the net calorific value and environmental footprint of coke as a fuel.
- Open Access
- 29 December 2025
- Published by MDPI AG in Agriengineering
- Vol. 8 (1) , 1
Algorithms and Adaptation Schemes for a Phytotron Digital Twin Using an Evolutionary Heuristic for Parameter Calibration
Digital twins (DTs) are increasingly used in controlled-environment agriculture to model microclimates and drive energy-efficient control. However, long-term drift and seasonal variability require continuous recalibration and controller retuning. We develop a self-adaptive DT of a phytotron chamber that combines an MAPE-K loop with an evolutionary heuristic. A genetic algorithm (GA) calibrates the DT parameters against IoT time series and subsequently optimizes heater control settings (two-position, three-position, and proportional modes) subject to comfort constraints on temperature and humidity. Six monitoring intervals (May–June 2025) are used for per-interval calibration and six-fold cross-validation. The calibrated DT reproduces temperature and humidity with high fidelity across unseen intervals: the average cross-validated deviations are 0.27 °C and 7.1%RH (30 transfers). Controller optimization yields cumulative energy savings of 186.54 kWh (3.24%) over six intervals, with per-interval savings ranging from 0.37% to 5.94%. Coupling GA-based DT calibration with model-in-the-loop controller optimization consistently reduces energy use while maintaining microclimate quality, providing a practical pathway for the robust, year-round operation of vertical farms.
- 29 December 2025
- Published by MDPI AG in Agriengineering
- Vol. 8 (1) , 1
Open AccessAlgorithms and Adaptation Schemes for a Phytotron Digital Twin Using an Evolutionary Heuristic for Parameter Calibration
Digital twins (DTs) are increasingly used in controlled-environment agriculture to model microclimates and drive energy-efficient control. However, long-term drift and seasonal variability require continuous recalibration and controller retuning. We develop a self-adaptive DT of a phytotron chamber that combines an MAPE-K loop with an evolutionary heuristic. A genetic algorithm (GA) calibrates the DT parameters against IoT time series and subsequently optimizes heater control settings (two-position, three-position, and proportional modes) subject to comfort constraints on temperature and humidity. Six monitoring intervals (May–June 2025) are used for per-interval calibration and six-fold cross-validation. The calibrated DT reproduces temperature and humidity with high fidelity across unseen intervals: the average cross-validated deviations are 0.27 °C and 7.1%RH (30 transfers). Controller optimization yields cumulative energy savings of 186.54 kWh (3.24%) over six intervals, with per-interval savings ranging from 0.37% to 5.94%. Coupling GA-based DT calibration with model-in-the-loop controller optimization consistently reduces energy use while maintaining microclimate quality, providing a practical pathway for the robust, year-round operation of vertical farms.
- Open Access
- 8 December 2025
- Published by Krasnoyarsk Science and Technology City Hall in Информатика. Экономика. Управление - Informatics. Economics. Management
- Vol. 4 (4)
Прогнозирование структурного типа нефтяного кокса методами машинного обучения в составе ядра цифрового двойника
В условиях роста доли тяжёлого сырья в нефтепереработке целенаправленное получение нефтяного кокса с заданной структурой является ключевой задачей для максимизации экономической отдачи. Существующие методы визуальной классификации обладают субъективностью и значительным временным лагом, что исключает возможность оперативного управления процессом. В данной работе проведён сравнительный анализ эффективности трёх методов машинного обучения: многослойного персептрона, метода опорных векторов и градиентного бустинга для решения задачи многоклассовой классификации структурного типа кокса на основе промышленных данных установки замедленного коксования. Использован массив исторических данных, включающий параметры сырья и технологического режима. Результаты показали, что наивысшую точность (98,5%) и сбалансированность метрик демонстрирует нейросетевая модель, превзойдя метод градиентного бустинга (96,7%) и метод опорных векторов (91,3%). Выявлены и ранжированы ключевые факторы, влияющие на формирование структуры: максимальная температура, коксуемость сырья и скорость нагрева. Разработанная модель предлагается в качестве интеллектуального модуля для интеграции в архитектуру гибридного цифрового двойника технологического процесса, обеспечивая переход к предиктивному управлению качеством продукции.
- 8 December 2025
- Published by Krasnoyarsk Science and Technology City Hall in Информатика. Экономика. Управление - Informatics. Economics. Management
- Vol. 4 (4)
Open AccessПрогнозирование структурного типа нефтяного кокса методами машинного обучения в составе ядра цифрового двойника
В условиях роста доли тяжёлого сырья в нефтепереработке целенаправленное получение нефтяного кокса с заданной структурой является ключевой задачей для максимизации экономической отдачи. Существующие методы визуальной классификации обладают субъективностью и значительным временным лагом, что исключает возможность оперативного управления процессом. В данной работе проведён сравнительный анализ эффективности трёх методов машинного обучения: многослойного персептрона, метода опорных векторов и градиентного бустинга для решения задачи многоклассовой классификации структурного типа кокса на основе промышленных данных установки замедленного коксования. Использован массив исторических данных, включающий параметры сырья и технологического режима. Результаты показали, что наивысшую точность (98,5%) и сбалансированность метрик демонстрирует нейросетевая модель, превзойдя метод градиентного бустинга (96,7%) и метод опорных векторов (91,3%). Выявлены и ранжированы ключевые факторы, влияющие на формирование структуры: максимальная температура, коксуемость сырья и скорость нагрева. Разработанная модель предлагается в качестве интеллектуального модуля для интеграции в архитектуру гибридного цифрового двойника технологического процесса, обеспечивая переход к предиктивному управлению качеством продукции.