Yuanchao Zhong

Vehicle trajectory prediction is a pivotal technology in intelligent transportation systems. Existing methods encounter challenges in effectively modeling lane topology and dynamic interaction relationships in complex traffic scenarios, limiting prediction accuracy and reliability. This paper presents Lane Interaction Transformer (LITransformer), a lane-informed trajectory prediction framework that builds on spatio–temporal graph attention networks and Transformer-based global aggregation. Rather than introducing entirely new network primitives, LITransformer focuses on two design aspects: (i) a lane topology encoder that fuses geometric and semantic lane features via direction-sensitive, multi-scale dilated graph convolutions, converting vectorized lane data into rich topology-aware representations; and (ii) an Interaction-Aware Graph Attention mechanism (IAGAT) that explicitly models four types of interactions between vehicles and lane infrastructure (V2V, V2N, N2V, N2N), with gating-based fusion of structured road constraints and dynamic spatio–temporal features. The overall architecture employs a Transformer module to aggregate global scene context and a multi-modal decoding head to generate diverse trajectory hypotheses with confidence estimation. Extensive experiments on the Argoverse dataset show that LITransformer achieves a minADE of 0.76 and a minFDE of 1.20, and significantly outperforms representative baselines such as LaneGCN and HiVT. These results demonstrate that explicitly incorporating lane topology and interaction-aware spatio-temporal modeling can significantly improve the accuracy and reliability of vehicle trajectory prediction in complex real-world traffic scenarios.

Accurate prediction of urban grid-scale population inflow is crucial for smart city management and emergency response. However, existing methods struggle to model spatial heterogeneity and quantify prediction uncertainty, limiting their accuracy and decision-support capabilities. This paper proposes PDCDM (POI-enhanced Dual-Dimensional Conditional Diffusion Model), which integrates urban functional semantic awareness with conditional diffusion modeling. The model captures urban functional attributes through multi-scale Point of Interest (POI) feature representations and incorporates them into the diffusion generation process. A dual-dimensional Transformer architecture is employed to decouple the modeling of temporal dependencies and inter-grid interactions, enabling adaptive fusion of grid-level features with dynamic temporal patterns. Building upon this dual-dimensional modeling framework, the conditional diffusion mechanism generates probabilistic predictions with explicit uncertainty quantification. Real-world urban dataset validation demonstrates that PDCDM significantly outperforms existing state-of-the-art methods in prediction accuracy and uncertainty quantification. Comprehensive ablation studies validate the effectiveness of each component and confirm the model’s practicality in complex urban scenarios.