Jianjun Song

Rainfall-induced failures in red clay slopes are common, yet the coupled influence of soil structure degradation and rainfall temporal patterns on slope hydromechanical behavior remains poorly understood. This study advances the understanding by investigating a cut slope failure in Yunnan through integrated field monitoring, laboratory testing, and numerical modeling. Key advancements include: (1) elucidating the coupled effect of structure degradation on both shear strength reduction and hydraulic conductivity alteration; (2) systematically quantifying the impact of rainfall temporal patterns beyond total rainfall; and (3) providing a mechanistic explanation for the critical role of early-peak rainfall. Mechanical and hydrological parameters were obtained from intact and remolded samples, with soil-water retention estimated via pedotransfer functions. A hydro-mechanical finite element model of the slope was constructed and calibrated using recorded rainfall, displacement data and failure surface. Six simulation scenarios were designed by combining three strength conditions (intact at natural water content, intact at saturation, remolded at natural water content) with two hydraulic conductivity values (intact vs. remolded). Additionally, four synthetic rainfall patterns, including uniform, peak-increasing, peak-decaying and bell-shaped rainfall, were simulated to evaluate their influence on pore water pressure development and slope stability. Results show remolding reduced hydraulic conductivity 4.7-fold, slowing wetting front advance and increasing shallow pore water pressure. Intact soil facilitated deeper drainage, elevating pressure near the soil-rock interface. Strength reduction induced by structure degradation (water saturating and remolding) enlarged the slope deformation zone by 1.5 times under same hydraulic conductivity. Simulations using saturated intact strength best matched field observations. The results from this specific slope indicate that strength parameters primarily control stability, while permeability affects deformation depth. Simulations considering different rainfall patterns indicate that slope stability depends more critically on the temporal distribution of rainfall intensity than on the total amount. Overall, peak-decaying rainfall led to the most rapid rise in pore water pressure, earliest instability and lowest failure rainfall threshold, whereas peak-increasing rainfall showed the opposite trends. Our findings outline a practical framework for assessing red clay slope stability during rainfall. This framework recommends using saturated intact strength parameters in stability analysis. It highlights the important influence of rainfall temporal patterns, especially those with an early peak, on failure timing and rainfall threshold.