Lucas Velimirovici
Current Organizations / Institutes
The organizations/institutes from the scholar's latest article
Lucas Velimirovici has a total of 3 co-authors. Here are the top co-authors by number of shared publications:
- Eugenia Paulescu
Faculty of Physics and Mathematics, West University of Timisoara, V. Pârvan 4, 300223 Timișoara, Romania
2 shared publications - George Știrban
Faculty of Physics and Mathematics, West University of Timisoara, V. Pârvan 4, 300223 Timișoara, Romania
1 shared publication - Marius Paulescu
Department of Physics, West University of Timişoara, V. Pârvan 4, 300223 Timişoara, Romania
1 shared publication
Latest Publications
- Open Access
- 21 June 2026
- Published by MDPI AG in Applied Sciences
- Vol. 16 (12) , 6236
A Parametric Model for Clear-Sky Solar UV Irradiance: Validation Using BSRN Measurements
Surface solar ultraviolet (UV) radiation represents an essential component of shortwave solar radiation, with important implications for atmospheric chemistry and climate studies. Reliable, high-quality records of surface solar UV radiation are essential for UV-related research and applications; however, ground-based UV observations remain sparse worldwide. This study presents a novel broadband parametric model, based on physical principles, for estimating solar UV irradiance () under clear-sky conditions. The model is computationally efficient and suitable for practical applications. The proposed approach is based on the SMARTS2 spectral radiative transfer model and employs an interdependent integration scheme to derive broadband UV irradiance from spectrally resolved shortwave radiation. The model performance is evaluated against high-quality measurements from the Baseline Surface Radiation Network (BSRN) and compared with an established parameterization. The proposed model demonstrates improved performance at both validation sites, reducing the mean nRMSE from 8.88% to 7.64% at Izaña and from 60.69% to 29.24% at Payerne, while also substantially decreasing the bias under more challenging atmospheric conditions, although the nRMSE at Payerne remains relatively high. These results highlight the potential of the proposed approach as an efficient and physically consistent tool for clear-sky UV irradiance estimation.- 21 June 2026
- Published by MDPI AG in Applied Sciences
- Vol. 16 (12) , 6236
Open AccessA Parametric Model for Clear-Sky Solar UV Irradiance: Validation Using BSRN Measurements
Surface solar ultraviolet (UV) radiation represents an essential component of shortwave solar radiation, with important implications for atmospheric chemistry and climate studies. Reliable, high-quality records of surface solar UV radiation are essential for UV-related research and applications; however, ground-based UV observations remain sparse worldwide. This study presents a novel broadband parametric model, based on physical principles, for estimating solar UV irradiance () under clear-sky conditions. The model is computationally efficient and suitable for practical applications. The proposed approach is based on the SMARTS2 spectral radiative transfer model and employs an interdependent integration scheme to derive broadband UV irradiance from spectrally resolved shortwave radiation. The model performance is evaluated against high-quality measurements from the Baseline Surface Radiation Network (BSRN) and compared with an established parameterization. The proposed model demonstrates improved performance at both validation sites, reducing the mean nRMSE from 8.88% to 7.64% at Izaña and from 60.69% to 29.24% at Payerne, while also substantially decreasing the bias under more challenging atmospheric conditions, although the nRMSE at Payerne remains relatively high. These results highlight the potential of the proposed approach as an efficient and physically consistent tool for clear-sky UV irradiance estimation. - Open Access
Short-Term Solar Irradiance Forecasting Using Random Forest-Based Models with a Focus on Mountain Locations
Photovoltaic (PV) power forecasting has become a key tool for the intelligent management of electrical grids. Since the largest source of error in PV power forecasting originates from uncertainties in solar irradiance prediction, improving the accuracy of solar irradiance forecasts has emerged as an active research topic. This study evaluates multiple random tree-based model versions using a challenging dataset collected at globally distributed stations, spanning elevations from sea level to nearly 4000 m and covering a wide range of climate classes. The originality of the study lies in the synergistic contribution of two elements: the innovative inclusion of diffuse irradiance among the predictors and a comparative analysis of forecast quality across lowland and mountainous locations. In such environments, accurate solar resource forecasting is particularly important for the intelligent management of stand-alone PV systems deployed at high altitudes and in remote, off-grid areas. Overall, the results identify Extremely Randomized Trees (XTRc) as the best-performing model. XTRc achieves Skill Scores ranging from 0.087 to 0.298 across individual stations. The model accuracy remains high even at mountain stations, provided that sky-condition variability is low.
Open AccessShort-Term Solar Irradiance Forecasting Using Random Forest-Based Models with a Focus on Mountain Locations
Photovoltaic (PV) power forecasting has become a key tool for the intelligent management of electrical grids. Since the largest source of error in PV power forecasting originates from uncertainties in solar irradiance prediction, improving the accuracy of solar irradiance forecasts has emerged as an active research topic. This study evaluates multiple random tree-based model versions using a challenging dataset collected at globally distributed stations, spanning elevations from sea level to nearly 4000 m and covering a wide range of climate classes. The originality of the study lies in the synergistic contribution of two elements: the innovative inclusion of diffuse irradiance among the predictors and a comparative analysis of forecast quality across lowland and mountainous locations. In such environments, accurate solar resource forecasting is particularly important for the intelligent management of stand-alone PV systems deployed at high altitudes and in remote, off-grid areas. Overall, the results identify Extremely Randomized Trees (XTRc) as the best-performing model. XTRc achieves Skill Scores ranging from 0.087 to 0.298 across individual stations. The model accuracy remains high even at mountain stations, provided that sky-condition variability is low.