Sisi Lv

Alternanthera philoxeroides is a highly invasive alien species in China that causes waterway blockages, agricultural yield loss, biodiversity decline, and ecosystem degradation. This study assessed the invasion risk and environmental drivers of A. philoxeroides in Guizhou Province, a karst mountainous region in Southwest China. Occurrence records were obtained from field surveys and the Chinese Virtual Herbarium. The genetic algorithm for rule-set production (GARP) model and the jackknife method were employed to identify 13 key environmental indicators for predicting invasion risk. The global invasion risk index (GIRI) was applied to quantify the overall invasion risk. Additionally, the Geodetector model was utilized to analyze the spatially differentiated effects of six environmental factors. The results showed that A. philoxeroides poses a high invasion risk in Guizhou Province, and the invasion risk in the Yangtze River Basin within Guizhou is higher than that in the Pearl River Basin. The environmental factors influencing invasion risk, in order of impact, were slope, elevation, land use, river density, rocky desertification, and soil pH. Moreover, interactions among these factors further amplify the invasion risk. These findings provide valuable insights for developing targeted management strategies for A. philoxeroides in karst mountainous regions and support biodiversity preservation and regional ecological sustainability.