Jiahui Peng

Accurate prediction of overpressured formations in deepwater is important for drilling safety and reservoir evaluation. However, conventional two-step inversion workflows are affected by cumulative errors and parameter crosstalk, which limits their ability to characterize the sharp pressure-transition interfaces at the top of overpressured zones. In this study, we propose a direct prestack nonlinear inversion method for the formation pressure coefficient ($\lambda$), a dimensionless and drilling-relevant indicator of overpressure intensity. Unlike previous exact-Zoeppritz direct inversions that target effective stress or elastic moduli, here a single formation pressure coefficient drives the pressure-sensitive rock-physics chain—linking pore pressure, effective stress, and pore-space stiffness to the seismic response—thereby reducing the number of free inversion variables. This single-parameter mapping is then coupled with the exact Zoeppritz equation to build a nonlinear prestack forward operator, helping to reduce the parameter coupling and error propagation associated with conventional multiparameter inversion workflows. To describe the typical blocky structural features of overpressured strata, a nonconvex Lp-norm (0 < p < 1) regularization is introduced as a structural prior, and a decoupled optimization strategy combining the alternating direction method of multipliers (ADMM) and iteratively reweighted least squares (IRLS) is developed for a stable solution. In a single pseudo-well synthetic test, the proposed method achieved a higher correlation coefficient and lower root mean square error (RMSE) than the indirect workflow, indicating improved agreement with the reference formation-pressure-coefficient profile. Application to field seismic data from the Yinggehai Basin, South China Sea, shows that the method produces clearer pressure-transition boundaries and pressure-coefficient profiles more consistent with the available well constraints. These results suggest that, under the tested conditions, the proposed method can provide useful geophysical support for pressure prediction and the characterization of deepwater overpressured reservoirs.