Multi-Institutional Verification of a Novel Predictor (Volume-Scaled SUVmax) for Successful Biology-Guided Radiotherapy Delivery of Small Targets

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Abstract
Background/Objectives: The aim of this study was to establish the relationship between target size and the required diagnostic PET maximum standard uptake value (SUVmax) thresholds needed for successful Biology-guided Radiotherapy (BgRT) delivery on RefleXion X1 PET-linac. The current clinical eligibility recommendation is an SUVmax ≥ 6 at simulation, but the RefleXion system subsequently evaluates Activity Concentration (AC), which must exceed 5 kBq/mL for successful BgRT planning. Methods: A custom 3D-printed phantom containing six spherical targets (8 to 20 mm diameter) was used with varying target-to-background ratios (5:1 to 20:1) of 18F-FDG to systematically achieve a range of SUVmax values for each target size. Images were acquired on Siemens Biograph mCT for SUVmax quantification and RefleXion X1 for AC measurements. Twenty-four BgRT plans were evaluated, and delivery accuracy was validated using ArcCHECK. Additionally, retrospective data from 18 patients across four institutions were analyzed to validate the phantom-derived findings. Results: The PET-linac successfully planned treatments for 13/24 experiments, all achieving an AC > 5 kBq/mL. SUVmax requirements varied by target size: 16–20 mm targets required an SUVmax > 6, consistent with current recommendations, while smaller targets required higher thresholds (e.g., 13 mm: SUVmax > 10, and 11 mm: SUVmax > 15). 8 and 9 mm targets failed to meet AC requirements even at SUVmax 14. Successful deliveries maintained acceptable accuracy, with gamma passing rates of 92.4% ± 5.0% (3%/2 mm) and 97.6% ± 1.9% (3%/3 mm). Analysis revealed that Volume (cc) × SUVmax > 11 consistently predicted successful BgRT planning across all target sizes. This threshold was validated using multi-institutional PET-CT patient data (mean: 11.36, 95% CI: 9.1–12.9), correctly predicting treatment eligibility in 15 of 18 cases. Conclusions: Target size significantly influences BgRT eligibility. We derived a new criterion, Volume(cc) × SUVmax > 11 (95% CI: 9.1–12).

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