Ignacio J. Martinez Moyano
Current Organizations / Institutes
The organizations/institutes from the scholar's latest article
Previous Organizations / Institutes
The organizations / institutes from the scholar's other articles in the past ten years
Ignacio J. Martinez Moyano has a total of 33 co-authors. Here are the top co-authors by number of shared publications:
- David F. Andersen
Department of Public Administration, Rockefeller College of Public Affairs and Policy, University at Albany, State University of New York, 1400 Washington Avenue, Albany, NY 12222, USA
2 shared publications - Jonathan Ozik
Consortium for Advanced Science and Engineering, University of Chicago, Chicago, IL
2 shared publications - Stephen H. Conrad
Sandia National Laboratories, USA
2 shared publications Abby Stevens
Department of Statistics, University of Chicago, Chicago, IL
1 shared publication- Abby Stevens
Decision and Infrastructure Sciences, Division Argonne National Laboratory
1 shared publication - Aditya Subhash Khanna
Department of Behavioral and Social Sciences, Brown University, Providence, RI, USA
1 shared publication
Latest Publications
- Open Access
- 8 January 2026
- Published by Oxford University Press (OUP) in Journal of Animal Science
- Vol. 104
ASAS-NANP SYMPOSIUM: MATHEMATICAL MODELING IN ANIMAL NUTRITION: Modeling the dynamics of complex systems: incorporating AI and HPC into dynamic modeling
In many areas of animal science, the questions are dominated by dynamic problems: outcomes evolve over time, adapt to interventions, and emerge from interacting biological, managerial, and institutional processes operating across temporal and spatial scales. These systems exhibit accumulation, feedback, nonlinearities, and time delays that can make intuitive reasoning unreliable, and that can cause well-intended policies to underperform or generate unanticipated consequences. Dynamic modeling and simulation provide a rigorous way to make such mechanisms explicit and to test whether observed patterns of behavior can arise endogenously from system structure. This paper positions system dynamics modeling as a foundational approach for feedback-driven explanation and policy design in animal systems. It also highlights agent-based modeling as a natural approach to capture heterogeneity, networks, and localized interactions in system behavior. The paper describes how artificial intelligence can strengthen dynamic modeling workflows by scaling evidence synthesis, supporting transparent and auditable structure development, and expanding feasible calibration and updating methods under uncertainty. Finally, the paper describes how high-performance computing enables ensemble-based inference and robust policy evaluation by making large-scale sensitivity analysis, uncertainty quantification, calibration, and scenario development and testing routine. Across these themes, the paper emphasizes methodological discipline: artificial intelligence and high-performance computing should augment—not replace—critical thinking, causal reasoning, rigorous structure development, thoughtful analysis, and transparent reporting. The combined use of dynamic modeling, artificial intelligence, and high-performance computing can help animal science build interpretable, testable, and updateable models that support learning and timely decision making in complex systems.
- 8 January 2026
- Published by Oxford University Press (OUP) in Journal of Animal Science
- Vol. 104
Open AccessASAS-NANP SYMPOSIUM: MATHEMATICAL MODELING IN ANIMAL NUTRITION: Modeling the dynamics of complex systems: incorporating AI and HPC into dynamic modeling
In many areas of animal science, the questions are dominated by dynamic problems: outcomes evolve over time, adapt to interventions, and emerge from interacting biological, managerial, and institutional processes operating across temporal and spatial scales. These systems exhibit accumulation, feedback, nonlinearities, and time delays that can make intuitive reasoning unreliable, and that can cause well-intended policies to underperform or generate unanticipated consequences. Dynamic modeling and simulation provide a rigorous way to make such mechanisms explicit and to test whether observed patterns of behavior can arise endogenously from system structure. This paper positions system dynamics modeling as a foundational approach for feedback-driven explanation and policy design in animal systems. It also highlights agent-based modeling as a natural approach to capture heterogeneity, networks, and localized interactions in system behavior. The paper describes how artificial intelligence can strengthen dynamic modeling workflows by scaling evidence synthesis, supporting transparent and auditable structure development, and expanding feasible calibration and updating methods under uncertainty. Finally, the paper describes how high-performance computing enables ensemble-based inference and robust policy evaluation by making large-scale sensitivity analysis, uncertainty quantification, calibration, and scenario development and testing routine. Across these themes, the paper emphasizes methodological discipline: artificial intelligence and high-performance computing should augment—not replace—critical thinking, causal reasoning, rigorous structure development, thoughtful analysis, and transparent reporting. The combined use of dynamic modeling, artificial intelligence, and high-performance computing can help animal science build interpretable, testable, and updateable models that support learning and timely decision making in complex systems.
- Open Access
Developing and deploying a use-inspired metapopulation modeling framework for detailed tracking of stratified health outcomes
Public health experts studying infectious disease spread often seek granular insights into population health outcomes. Metapopulation models offer an effective framework for analyzing disease transmission through subpopulation mixing. These models strike a balance between traditional, homogeneous mixing compartmental models and granular but computationally intensive agent-based models. In collaboration with the Chicago Department of Public Health (CDPH), we developed MetaRVM , an open-source R package for modeling the spread of infectious diseases in subpop-ulations, which can be flexibly defined by geography, demographics, or other stratifications. MetaRVM is designed to support real-time public health decision-making and through its co-creation with CDPH, we have ensured that it is re-sponsive to real-world needs. We demonstrate its flexible capabilities by tracking influenza dynamics within different age groups in Chicago, by integrating an efficient Bayesian optimization-based calibration approach.
Open AccessDeveloping and deploying a use-inspired metapopulation modeling framework for detailed tracking of stratified health outcomes
Public health experts studying infectious disease spread often seek granular insights into population health outcomes. Metapopulation models offer an effective framework for analyzing disease transmission through subpopulation mixing. These models strike a balance between traditional, homogeneous mixing compartmental models and granular but computationally intensive agent-based models. In collaboration with the Chicago Department of Public Health (CDPH), we developed MetaRVM , an open-source R package for modeling the spread of infectious diseases in subpop-ulations, which can be flexibly defined by geography, demographics, or other stratifications. MetaRVM is designed to support real-time public health decision-making and through its co-creation with CDPH, we have ensured that it is re-sponsive to real-world needs. We demonstrate its flexible capabilities by tracking influenza dynamics within different age groups in Chicago, by integrating an efficient Bayesian optimization-based calibration approach.
- Open Access
- 1 May 2025
- Published by Office of Scientific and Technical Information (OSTI)
Modeling COVID-19 Impacts on Prison Population
- 1 May 2025
- Published by Office of Scientific and Technical Information (OSTI)
Open AccessModeling COVID-19 Impacts on Prison Population
- Open Access
- 22 February 2024
- Published by Wiley in System Dynamics Review
- Vol. 40 (2)
History of the Beer Game
This article describes the history of the Beer Game. By triangulating information from literature, archival analysis, and interviews with experts in the field, the main changes in the game over its almost 70‐year history are identified. The article discusses three aspects of the game: 1) its structure (phases of its history, stocks and flows, parameters, etc.); 2) the process for playing the game; and 3) the game debrief. The structure of the Beer Game, and the process for running it, have stabilized over the years into what is now a de facto standard approach. Additional work is needed in the game debrief, specifically in the clarification of key insights and messages (depending on the context of the use of the game), in how to communicate such messages to different audiences, and in the development of support materials for its delivery. © 2024 UChicago Argonne, LLC. System Dynamics Review published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of System Dynamics Society.
- 22 February 2024
- Published by Wiley in System Dynamics Review
- Vol. 40 (2)
Open AccessHistory of the Beer Game
This article describes the history of the Beer Game. By triangulating information from literature, archival analysis, and interviews with experts in the field, the main changes in the game over its almost 70‐year history are identified. The article discusses three aspects of the game: 1) its structure (phases of its history, stocks and flows, parameters, etc.); 2) the process for playing the game; and 3) the game debrief. The structure of the Beer Game, and the process for running it, have stabilized over the years into what is now a de facto standard approach. Additional work is needed in the game debrief, specifically in the clarification of key insights and messages (depending on the context of the use of the game), in how to communicate such messages to different audiences, and in the development of support materials for its delivery. © 2024 UChicago Argonne, LLC. System Dynamics Review published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of System Dynamics Society.
- Open Access
- 30 October 2023
- Published by Academy of Systems Thinking in The Journal of Systems Thinking
- Vol. 3 (4) , 1-16
System Dynamics in Action
Decisions are made, actions are taken, and the world is changing constantly as a result. The consequences of past decisions create the information that affects future decisions in an iterative, continuous set of feedback processes. To better comprehend real-world systems, change, and complex interactions, identifying and understanding feedback is paramount. The system dynamics (SD) approach, part of the operations research field and identified by systems philosophers as part of the first three waves of systems thinking, emerged out of servomechanisms engineering and control theory. It has been applied to understand and manage a wide range of complex problems in natural, engineered, and social systems. The SD approach combines the theory of information feedback, human decision making, and computer simulation to create a computer-aided approach to policy analysis and design. The SD approach favors a point of view that originates from within—an endogenous approach—to explain and propose alternatives for change in complex systems. Feedback and endogeneity, core concepts in system dynamics, enable closed-loop thinking to understand complex systems which go beyond open-loop thinking and reveal, in a holistic way, not only how, but also why things change over time. Additionally, SD uses a broad system boundary to provide such endogenous structural explanations of system behavior, and embracesmethodological pluralism in order to evolve, adapt, and take advantage of advances in computer processing speed and storage, data availability and analysis, and social science research and analytical methods.
- 30 October 2023
- Published by Academy of Systems Thinking in The Journal of Systems Thinking
- Vol. 3 (4) , 1-16
Open AccessSystem Dynamics in Action
Decisions are made, actions are taken, and the world is changing constantly as a result. The consequences of past decisions create the information that affects future decisions in an iterative, continuous set of feedback processes. To better comprehend real-world systems, change, and complex interactions, identifying and understanding feedback is paramount. The system dynamics (SD) approach, part of the operations research field and identified by systems philosophers as part of the first three waves of systems thinking, emerged out of servomechanisms engineering and control theory. It has been applied to understand and manage a wide range of complex problems in natural, engineered, and social systems. The SD approach combines the theory of information feedback, human decision making, and computer simulation to create a computer-aided approach to policy analysis and design. The SD approach favors a point of view that originates from within—an endogenous approach—to explain and propose alternatives for change in complex systems. Feedback and endogeneity, core concepts in system dynamics, enable closed-loop thinking to understand complex systems which go beyond open-loop thinking and reveal, in a holistic way, not only how, but also why things change over time. Additionally, SD uses a broad system boundary to provide such endogenous structural explanations of system behavior, and embracesmethodological pluralism in order to evolve, adapt, and take advantage of advances in computer processing speed and storage, data availability and analysis, and social science research and analytical methods.
- 18 June 2022
- Published by Elsevier in Annals of Epidemiology
- Vol. 76, 165-173
Impact of changes in protective behaviors and out-of-household activities by age on COVID-19 transmission and hospitalization in Chicago, Illinois
- 18 June 2022
- Published by Elsevier in Annals of Epidemiology
- Vol. 76, 165-173
Impact of changes in protective behaviors and out-of-household activities by age on COVID-19 transmission and hospitalization in Chicago, Illinois
- Open Access
- 31 March 2021
- Published by Elsevier in Public Health in Practice
- Vol. 2, 100116
Intervening alcohol marketing to reduce harmful alcohol use and lessons learned from the theory of changes: Case studies in Thailand
- 31 March 2021
- Published by Elsevier in Public Health in Practice
- Vol. 2, 100116
Open AccessIntervening alcohol marketing to reduce harmful alcohol use and lessons learned from the theory of changes: Case studies in Thailand
- Top Cited Papers
- 1 April 2013
- Published by Wiley in System Dynamics Review
- Vol. 29 (2) , 102-123
Best practices in system dynamics modeling
This research explores opinions about best practices in system dynamics modeling elicited from a distinguished group of experts in the field. We address three questions: What do practitioners believe is the best way to undertake system dynamics modeling? What specific core activities are essential for exemplary action during the different stages of the modeling process? What do experts believe are the most important practices during the different stages of the modeling process? The researchers used a multi‐method approach involving interviews, virtual meetings using the Internet, statistical analysis of the generated data and, finally, a facilitated face‐to‐face meeting in which experts discussed the results of the study and their implications. The results of this research include 72 best practices grouped into six categories that reflect the stages of the system dynamics modeling process. Copyright © 2013 System Dynamics Society.
- 1 April 2013
- Published by Wiley in System Dynamics Review
- Vol. 29 (2) , 102-123
Top Cited PapersBest practices in system dynamics modeling
This research explores opinions about best practices in system dynamics modeling elicited from a distinguished group of experts in the field. We address three questions: What do practitioners believe is the best way to undertake system dynamics modeling? What specific core activities are essential for exemplary action during the different stages of the modeling process? What do experts believe are the most important practices during the different stages of the modeling process? The researchers used a multi‐method approach involving interviews, virtual meetings using the Internet, statistical analysis of the generated data and, finally, a facilitated face‐to‐face meeting in which experts discussed the results of the study and their implications. The results of this research include 72 best practices grouped into six categories that reflect the stages of the system dynamics modeling process. Copyright © 2013 System Dynamics Society.
- Open Access
- 1 April 2012
- Published by Wiley in System Dynamics Review
- Vol. 28 (2) , 199-208
Documentation for model transparency
- 1 April 2012
- Published by Wiley in System Dynamics Review
- Vol. 28 (2) , 199-208
Open AccessDocumentation for model transparency
- 1 March 2012
- Published by SAGE Publications in Journal of Public Affairs Education
- Vol. 18 (1) , 107-136
Techniques in Teaching Statistics: Linking Research Production and Research Use
In the spirit of closing the “research-practice gap,” the authors extend evidencebased principles to statistics instruction in social science graduate education.1 The authors employ a Delphi method to survey experienced statistics instructors to identify teaching techniques to overcome the challenges inherent in teaching statistics to students enrolled in practitioner-oriented master’s degree programs. Among the teaching techniques identified as essential are using real-life examples, requiring data collection exercises, and emphasizing interpretation rather than results. Building on existing research, preliminary interviews, and the findings from the study, the authors develop a model describing antecedents to the strength of the link between research and practice.
- 1 March 2012
- Published by SAGE Publications in Journal of Public Affairs Education
- Vol. 18 (1) , 107-136
Techniques in Teaching Statistics: Linking Research Production and Research Use
In the spirit of closing the “research-practice gap,” the authors extend evidencebased principles to statistics instruction in social science graduate education.1 The authors employ a Delphi method to survey experienced statistics instructors to identify teaching techniques to overcome the challenges inherent in teaching statistics to students enrolled in practitioner-oriented master’s degree programs. Among the teaching techniques identified as essential are using real-life examples, requiring data collection exercises, and emphasizing interpretation rather than results. Building on existing research, preliminary interviews, and the findings from the study, the authors develop a model describing antecedents to the strength of the link between research and practice.