Dimitris Chatzistratis

This study presents a comprehensive geospatial framework for assessing coastal vulnerability and ecosystem service distribution along the Greek coastline, one of the longest and most diverse in Europe. The framework integrates two complementary components: a Coastal Erosion Vulnerability Index applied to all identified beach units, and Coastal Flood Risk Indexes focused on low-lying and urbanized coastal segments. Both indices draw on harmonized, open-access European datasets to represent environmental, geomorphological, and socio-economic dimensions of risk. The Coastal Erosion Vulnerability Index is developed through a multi-criteria approach that combines indicators of physical erodibility, such as historical shoreline retreat, projected erosion under climate change, offshore wave power, and the cover of seagrass meadows, with socio-economic exposure metrics, including land use composition, population density, and beach-based recreational values. Inclusive accessibility for wheelchair users is also integrated to highlight equity-relevant aspects of coastal services. The Coastal Flood Risk Indexes identify flood-prone areas by simulating inundation through a novel point-based, computationally efficient geospatial method, which propagates water inland from coastal entry points using Extreme Sea Level (ESL) projections for future scenarios, overcoming the limitations of static ‘bathtub’ approaches. Together, the indices offer a spatially explicit, scalable framework to inform coastal zone management, climate adaptation planning, and the prioritization of nature-based solutions. By integrating vulnerability mapping with ecosystem service valuation, the framework supports evidence-based decision-making while aligning with key European policy goals for resilience and sustainable coastal development.

Ports are vital components of global and regional supply chains, supporting trade, transport connectivity, and socio-economic development. However, their functionality is increasingly threatened by climatic hazards such as sea-level rise and heat stress, both of which are projected to intensify under future climate change. This study presents a comprehensive framework for assessing the criticality of ports within a national network, demonstrated through its application to the Greek port system, which encompasses a multitude of ports of all types from large international hubs to small island ones. The framework combines openly accessible geospatial and socio-economic data with projections of exposure to sea-level rise and extreme heat within a structured multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) approach, enabling the identification of critical ports and the prioritization of adaptation needs. Results show that large mainland ports dominate in socio-economic importance and network centrality, while smaller island ports are vital locally due to limited redundancy and high exposure to climatic hazards. By 2100, nearly all ports are projected to experience freeboard reductions below operational thresholds and increased heat-related stress. These results highlight the need for targeted adaptation measures, including engineering interventions for mainland ports and redundancy-enhancing actions for island ports. The proposed framework provides a replicable, data-driven tool to guide evidence-based prioritization of adaptation investments and strengthen climate-resilient maritime transport and coastal management, thereby contributing to the achievement of Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) 1.5, 9 and 13.

This study assesses the exposure of the 155 Greek seaports to marine flooding and extreme heat under climate change. Flood exposure was estimated through a threshold approach that compared projected mean and extreme sea levels to high-resolution port quay elevation data. It was found that while relatively few ports will face quay inundation, the majority will experience operational disruptions due to insufficient freeboard for berthing of commercial vessels under both the mean (80%) and extreme sea (96%) levels by 2050. For selected ports, 2-D flood modelling was undertaken that showed that the used ‘static’ flood threshold approach likely underestimates flood exposure. Future heat exposure was studied through the comparison of extreme temperature and humidity projections to operational and health/safety thresholds. Port infrastructure and personnel/users will be exposed to large material, operational and health risks, whereas energy demand will rise steeply. Deadly heat days (due to mean temperature/humidity combination) will increase, particularly at island ports: 20% of Greek ports might face more than 50 such days annually by end-century. As ports are associated with large urban clusters, these findings suggest a broader health risk. Our findings suggest an urgent climate adaptation need given the strategic socio-economic importance of ports.

This study examines the surf and swash zone dynamics of a microtidal, low-energy, dissipative beach in Kos Island, Greece, using high-frequency optical monitoring with a Beach Optical Monitoring System (BOMS) and in situ wave measurements during the winter period. Increased wave heights induced the offshore migration of the wave-breaking zone with significant alongshore variability; however, no triggering of NOM (Net Offshore Movement) behavior was verified, while occasional rhythmic patterns were observed in the breaking location under moderate wave conditions. Shoreline dynamics showed transient erosional episodes coupled with elevated run-up excursions, yet the shoreline showed signs of recovery, suggesting a quasi-equilibrium state. Run-up energy spectra were consistently dominated by lower frequencies than those of incoming waves under both low- and high-energy conditions. This behavior is attributed to the nearshore sandbars acting as low-pass filters, dissipating high-frequency wave energy and allowing for lower-frequency motions to dominate run-up processes. A widely used empirical wave run-up predictor corresponded well with the video observations, confirming its applicability to low-energy dissipative beaches. These results underscore the role of submerged sandbars in regulating wave energy dissipation and stabilizing beach morphology under low-to-moderate wave conditions.

This contribution presents a new approach for assessing/ranking the vulnerability of beaches to mean and extreme sea level rise at regional (island) scales. It combines socio-economic information with beach erosion projections from morphodynamic models to rank beach vulnerability in a structured, ‘holistic’ manner. It involves the collation of various beach geo-spatial environmental and socio-economic data, which are then combined with erosion projections under different climatic scenarios. A Strengths–Weaknesses–Opportunities–Threats (SWOT) framework is employed for the indicator selection, and multi-criteria methods (Analytical Hierarchy Process—AHP, Technique for Order of Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution—TOPSIS, Preference Ranking Organization Method for Enrichment Evaluations—PROMETHEE II) are then used to optimize indicator weights and rank beach vulnerability. Framework implementation in Lesvos and Kos has shown that there will be significant effects of the mean and (particularly) of the extreme sea levels on the carrying capacity and the capability of the beaches to buffer backshore assets, in the absence of appropriate adaptation measures. As the proposed approach relies on widely available information on many of the socio-economic indicators required to assess the beach’s significance/criticality, it can provide a reproducible and transferable methodology that can be applied at different locations and spatial scales.

The aim of this contribution is to provide a brief overview of the current and future earth observation (EO) technologies that can be used to assess and manage the EU coastal flood risk, together with the pertinent international and EU policies and legislation. The review has shown that EOs have become an indispensable technology for the assessment and management of the coastal flood risk, and their role will increase further in the future when EO information of higher resolution and accuracy become available. With regard to the relevant policies and legislation, their common thread is associated with the promotion and facilitation of the development of appropriate data and tools for high-quality and timely geo-spatial information based on EO technologies. In Europe, in particular, this development is promoted and facilitated by an array of international and supra-national (EU), interacting policies and legislation. It appears, however, that additional initiatives and technological progress in EO functionalities and the information technology are needed together with more targeted policy and legislation frameworks to provide vital information for the management of the coastal flood risk.

A methodological framework is presented for the assessment of beach vulnerability to climate variability and change on small touristic islands. Based on the development of a coastal vulnerability index (CVI) fueled by open-source Earth Observations and social media information, it includes both physical and socio-economic characteristics of the shoreline. In a pilot study in the U.S. Virgin Islands (USVIs), most beaches were found to be vulnerable to erosion. The CVI was utilized to rank the most likely vulnerable beaches, which were then studied using historic geomorphologic data; these beaches were confirmed to be predominantly eroding. Significant erosion is projected as sea levels rise; for example, by 2050 under the RCP8.5 scenario, more than 50% of the 30 most vulnerable USVI beaches will erode by 50–100% of their current maximum width. The framework is designed to be used in vulnerable coastal settings that have limited financial and human resources.

In this study, 17 hydrologists with different experience in hydrological modelling applied the same conceptual catchment model (HBV) to a Greek catchment, using identical data and model code. Calibration was performed manually. Subsequently, the modellers were asked for their experience, their calibration strategy, and whether they enjoyed the exercise. The exercise revealed that there is considerable modellers’ uncertainty even among the experienced modellers. It seemed to be equally important whether the modellers followed a good calibration strategy, and whether they enjoyed modelling. The exercise confirmed previous studies about the benefit of model ensembles: Different combinations of the simulation results (median, mean) outperformed the individual model simulations, while filtering the simulations even improved the quality of the model ensembles. Modellers’ experience, decisions, and attitude, therefore, have an impact on the hydrological model application and should be considered as part of hydrological modelling uncertainty.