Isavela N. Monioudi

Freshwater lakes in Mediterranean regions are highly sensitive to climatic variability, particularly to droughts intensified by rising temperatures and increasing atmospheric evaporative demand. This study investigates drought variability and ecosystem responses in the Trichonida basin, the largest natural freshwater system in Greece, using an integrated approach that combines the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) at multiple time scales with satellite-derived Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), Crop Water Stress Index (CWSI), and lake surface water temperature. SPEI analysis revealed increasingly recurrent and persistent drought conditions in recent years, especially at medium- and long-term scales. NDVI exhibited pronounced seasonal variability and a moderate long-term increase at the basin scale, largely associated with agricultural activity and irrigation practices, while sharp declines were observed during severe drought episodes. CWSI showed strong seasonal patterns characterized by recurrent summer water stress events, but no significant long-term trend. Correlation analysis indicated positive relationships between NDVI and SPEI at medium- to long-term time scales, and significant negative correlations between CWSI and SPEI at short and medium time scales. A strong relationship between NDVI and CWSI further suggests the sensitivity of vegetation greenness to water stress, particularly during summer and autumn. Lake surface water temperature exhibited seasonal warming trends that coincided with periods of increased vegetation water stress. Drought-related water risks arise for calcareous fens dominated by Cladium mariscus in the Lake Trichonida system, a habitat of high conservation value, whose productivity is strongly seasonally controlled and closely linked to thermal dynamics. Overall, the combined multi-indicator analysis provides valuable insights into drought impacts and seasonal ecosystem vulnerability in Mediterranean lake basin environments, highlighting the importance of integrated monitoring frameworks for sustainable freshwater ecosystem management under increasing climatic variability.

This study presents a comprehensive geospatial framework for assessing coastal vulnerability and ecosystem service distribution along the Greek coastline, one of the longest and most diverse in Europe. The framework integrates two complementary components: a Coastal Erosion Vulnerability Index applied to all identified beach units, and Coastal Flood Risk Indexes focused on low-lying and urbanized coastal segments. Both indices draw on harmonized, open-access European datasets to represent environmental, geomorphological, and socio-economic dimensions of risk. The Coastal Erosion Vulnerability Index is developed through a multi-criteria approach that combines indicators of physical erodibility, such as historical shoreline retreat, projected erosion under climate change, offshore wave power, and the cover of seagrass meadows, with socio-economic exposure metrics, including land use composition, population density, and beach-based recreational values. Inclusive accessibility for wheelchair users is also integrated to highlight equity-relevant aspects of coastal services. The Coastal Flood Risk Indexes identify flood-prone areas by simulating inundation through a novel point-based, computationally efficient geospatial method, which propagates water inland from coastal entry points using Extreme Sea Level (ESL) projections for future scenarios, overcoming the limitations of static ‘bathtub’ approaches. Together, the indices offer a spatially explicit, scalable framework to inform coastal zone management, climate adaptation planning, and the prioritization of nature-based solutions. By integrating vulnerability mapping with ecosystem service valuation, the framework supports evidence-based decision-making while aligning with key European policy goals for resilience and sustainable coastal development.

Climate change is expected to result in rising seas, exacerbating coastal floods and erosion. Remote islands are projected to be among the most challenged regions, due to their geographic isolation and fragile economies. While, Small Island Developing States have been attracting the attention of scientists and policy makers, Europe’s Outermost Regions (ORs) and Overseas Countries and Territories (OCTs) remain poorly studied in terms of their impacts from Sea Level Rise (SLR). Here we carry out a data-modelling framework to comprehensively study risks of flooding, the submergence of flat regions, and coastal erosion along coastlines of ORs and OCTs. Our study shows that under a high emissions scenario by 2150 annually nearly 3000 km ² is expected to be flooded, one third of which by tidal flooding, while 150 km ² of land will be lost by coastal erosion. This translates into an annual exposure to coastal inundation of up to half a million of people and an economic damage of 5.9 € billion per year - a 40-fold increase from today. Our study shows the increasing benefits in time of stringent climate mitigation, which could nearly halve these impacts in the long run. However, sea levels will continue to rise long after net zero carbon is reached, and so will the consequent impacts, highlighting the critical importance of proactive efforts to increase the resilience of these vulnerable regions against rising seas.

Ports are vital components of global and regional supply chains, supporting trade, transport connectivity, and socio-economic development. However, their functionality is increasingly threatened by climatic hazards such as sea-level rise and heat stress, both of which are projected to intensify under future climate change. This study presents a comprehensive framework for assessing the criticality of ports within a national network, demonstrated through its application to the Greek port system, which encompasses a multitude of ports of all types from large international hubs to small island ones. The framework combines openly accessible geospatial and socio-economic data with projections of exposure to sea-level rise and extreme heat within a structured multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) approach, enabling the identification of critical ports and the prioritization of adaptation needs. Results show that large mainland ports dominate in socio-economic importance and network centrality, while smaller island ports are vital locally due to limited redundancy and high exposure to climatic hazards. By 2100, nearly all ports are projected to experience freeboard reductions below operational thresholds and increased heat-related stress. These results highlight the need for targeted adaptation measures, including engineering interventions for mainland ports and redundancy-enhancing actions for island ports. The proposed framework provides a replicable, data-driven tool to guide evidence-based prioritization of adaptation investments and strengthen climate-resilient maritime transport and coastal management, thereby contributing to the achievement of Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) 1.5, 9 and 13.

Mediterranean coastal cultural heritage sites are increasingly threatened by the impacts of climate change, including sea-level rise, coastal erosion, and extreme weather events, which endanger both their physical integrity and their cultural and economic value. Safeguarding these vulnerable cultural assets requires approaches that integrate technological innovation with effective governance and management strategies. This study presents a systematic review of research published between 2000 and 2024, conducted in accordance with PRISMA guidelines to ensure methodological rigor and transparency. Searches were conducted in Scopus, Web of Science, and Google Scholar, limited to English-language studies explicitly addressing coastal cultural heritage in the Mediterranean. A total of 77 studies were analyzed using bibliometric and spatial techniques to examine thematic trends, methodological orientations, and regional patterns. Results reveal a sharp rise in scholarly output after 2014, with Italy, Greece, and Cyprus emerging as dominant contributors. The literature demonstrates a strong emphasis on tangible cultural heritage, particularly archaeological sites and monuments, while cultural landscapes and nature–culture systems receive comparatively limited attention. Methodologically, the field is dominated by digital and technology-driven tools such as GIS, remote sensing, 3D documentation, and climate modelling, with socially grounded and participatory approaches appearing in less than 5% of studies. More than 70% of the reviewed works adopt case study designs, which constrain comparative and generalizable insights. In contrast, a predominance of future-oriented assessments highlights a persistent lack of present-day monitoring and baseline data. Collectively, these findings clarify the paper’s exclusive focus on coastal cultural heritage, underscore the need to broaden geographical coverage, integrate socio-institutional dimensions with environmental diagnostics, and prioritize empirical, present-focused approaches. In this direction, future research will advance an integrated framework for assessing coastal vulnerability at both site-specific and regional scales, supporting proactive and evidence-based conservation planning.

Flash droughts are a significant natural hazard, characterized by rapid onset and potential to cause substantial economic and environmental impacts. This study utilizes ERA5 soil moisture data to identify and define historical flash drought (FD) events in the Northeastern Aegean islands (specifically Chios, Lemnos, Lesvos and Samos). Hourly soil moisture data, spanning from 1990 to the present, covering three soil layers (0–7 cm, 7–28 cm and 28–100 cm), were analyzed and mapped onto a 0.1° × 0.1° grid with a native resolution of approximately 9 km. Additionally, the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) was applied to the island of Lesvos, using precipitation and average temperature data from the local meteorological stations. The number and characteristics of these events—including frequency, duration, decline rate, magnitude, intensity, recovery rate and recovery duration—were produced to construct a regional overview of FD risk across the Northeastern Aegean Islands. These results reveal a considerable variability in the spatial, seasonal and temporal distribution of past FD events. Furthermore, this study highlights the value of using satellite-derived soil moisture data for identifying FD events and demonstrates that analyzing this data with field temperature and precipitation measurements enables a more localized and accurate interpretation of past events. This approach facilitates the definition of FD “hotspot” areas, which, when combined with further investigation, can lead to the development of a predictive FD model.

Coastal communities worldwide face increasing risks from sea level rise (SLR) and more frequent coastal flooding, threatening densely populated areas. This study applies a Coastal Flood Risk Modelling Framework to evaluate permanent inundation from SLR and episodic flooding from extreme events across Asia and the Pacific, while also estimating the costs and benefits of adaptation. Using probabilistic projections of mean and extreme sea levels under five Shared Socio-economic Pathway (SSP) scenarios, ranging from ambitious mitigation (SSP1-1.9) to high fossil-fuel development (SSP5-8.5), the framework integrates hazard, exposure, and vulnerability data to estimate economic impacts. Current annual economic losses from coastal flooding in Asia and the Pacific amount to $26.8 billion, severely affecting Southeast Asia, South Asia, and the Pacific Islands. By 2050, expected annual economic damages are projected to rise between $143.7 and $197.8 billion just considering SLR effects (depending on the scenario), with further exacerbation by the century’s end. Atoll nations, including Kiribati, Maldives, RMI and Tuvalu will face the most severe losses relative to GDP. These findings underscore the urgent need for holistic adaptation measures including, grey, green and hybrid solutions, adaptive planning, resilient infrastructure, improved governance systems, alongside mitigation policies to reduce future emissions and consequent flood risks.

This study assesses the exposure of the 155 Greek seaports to marine flooding and extreme heat under climate change. Flood exposure was estimated through a threshold approach that compared projected mean and extreme sea levels to high-resolution port quay elevation data. It was found that while relatively few ports will face quay inundation, the majority will experience operational disruptions due to insufficient freeboard for berthing of commercial vessels under both the mean (80%) and extreme sea (96%) levels by 2050. For selected ports, 2-D flood modelling was undertaken that showed that the used ‘static’ flood threshold approach likely underestimates flood exposure. Future heat exposure was studied through the comparison of extreme temperature and humidity projections to operational and health/safety thresholds. Port infrastructure and personnel/users will be exposed to large material, operational and health risks, whereas energy demand will rise steeply. Deadly heat days (due to mean temperature/humidity combination) will increase, particularly at island ports: 20% of Greek ports might face more than 50 such days annually by end-century. As ports are associated with large urban clusters, these findings suggest a broader health risk. Our findings suggest an urgent climate adaptation need given the strategic socio-economic importance of ports.

This study examines the surf and swash zone dynamics of a microtidal, low-energy, dissipative beach in Kos Island, Greece, using high-frequency optical monitoring with a Beach Optical Monitoring System (BOMS) and in situ wave measurements during the winter period. Increased wave heights induced the offshore migration of the wave-breaking zone with significant alongshore variability; however, no triggering of NOM (Net Offshore Movement) behavior was verified, while occasional rhythmic patterns were observed in the breaking location under moderate wave conditions. Shoreline dynamics showed transient erosional episodes coupled with elevated run-up excursions, yet the shoreline showed signs of recovery, suggesting a quasi-equilibrium state. Run-up energy spectra were consistently dominated by lower frequencies than those of incoming waves under both low- and high-energy conditions. This behavior is attributed to the nearshore sandbars acting as low-pass filters, dissipating high-frequency wave energy and allowing for lower-frequency motions to dominate run-up processes. A widely used empirical wave run-up predictor corresponded well with the video observations, confirming its applicability to low-energy dissipative beaches. These results underscore the role of submerged sandbars in regulating wave energy dissipation and stabilizing beach morphology under low-to-moderate wave conditions.