Madalena D. Costa

This study is the first to show that cardiac parasympathetic function, assessed via heart rate fragmentation (HRF), is independently associated with major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs) in individuals traditionally considered low-risk due to nondetectable or minimal coronary artery calcification (CAC). HRF outperforms both the Framingham and MESA-CAC risk scores in the lowest-risk subgroup over the short term (<10 yr).

This study identifies reduced cardiac parasympathetic activity, measured by heart rate fragmentation (HRF), as a potential contributor to accelerated renal function decline in a community-based population. The findings suggest a mechanistic link between vagal dysfunction and kidney deterioration. From a translational perspective, the results support the utility of HRF—a noninvasive, repeatable measure—for renal disease risk stratification and monitoring of autonomic-targeted interventions.

Background: Fluctuations in beat-to-beat blood pressure variability (BPV) encode untapped information of clinical utility. A need exists for developing new methods to quantify the dynamical properties of these fluctuations beyond their mean and variance.Objectives: Introduction of a new beat-to-beat BPV measure, termed blood pressure fragmentation (BPF), and testing of whether increased preoperative BPF is associated with (i) older age; (ii) higher cardiac surgical risk, assessed using the Society of Thoracic Surgeons’ (STS) Risk of Morbidity and Mortality index and the European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation Score (EuroSCORE II); and (iii) longer ICU length of stay (LOS) following cardiac surgery. The secondary objective was to use standard BPV measures, specifically, mean, SD, coefficient of variation (CV), average real variability (ARV), as well a short-term scaling index, the detrended fluctuation analysis (DFA) ⍺₁ exponent, in the same type of analyses to compare the results with those obtained using BPF.Methods: Consecutive sample of 497 adult patients (72% male; age, median [inter-quartile range]: 67 [59–75] years) undergoing cardiac surgery with cardiopulmonary bypass. Fragmentation, standard BPV and DFA ⍺₁ measures were derived from preoperative systolic blood pressure (SBP) time series obtained from radial artery recordings.Results: Increased preoperative systolic BPF was associated with older age, higher STS Risk of Morbidity and Mortality and EuroSCORE II values, and longer ICU LOS in all models. Specifically, a one-SD increase in systolic BPF (9%) was associated with a 26% (13%–40%) higher likelihood of longer ICU LOS (>2 days). Among the other measures, only ARV and DFA ⍺₁ tended to be associated with longer ICU LOS. However, the associations did not reach significance in the most adjusted models.Conclusion: Preoperative BPF was significantly associated with preoperative predictors of cardiac surgical outcomes as well as with ICU LOS. Our findings encourage future studies of preoperative BPF for assessment of health status and risk stratification of surgical and non-surgical patients.

We introduce the concept of cardiac neuroautonomic renewability and a method for its quantification. This concept refers to the involuntary nervous system’s capacity to improve cardiac control in response to restorative interventions, such as sleep. We used the change in heart rate fragmentation (ΔHRF), before sleep onset compared with after sleep termination, to quantify the restorative effects of sleep. We hypothesized that the ability to improve cardiac neuroautonomic functionality would diminish with age and be associated with lower risk of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). We analyzed the ECG channel of polysomnographic recordings from an ancillary investigation of the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA). In a cohort of 659 participants (mean ± SD age, 69.7 ± 8.8; 42% male), HRF was significantly ( P < 0.001) lower after sleep (before: 74 ± 12%, after: 67 ± 13%). Furthermore, the magnitude of the decrease significantly ( P < 0.001) diminished with cross-sectional age. In addition, a larger reduction in HRF following sleep (i.e., higher ΔHRF) was associated with lower risk of MACE, independent of traditional cardiovascular risk factors and current measures of sleep quality. Specifically, over a mean follow-up period of 6.4 ± 1.6 yr, in which 60 participants had their first MACE, a one-SD (12%) increase in ΔHRF was associated with a 36% (95% CI: 12%–53%) decrease in the risk of MACE. The results demonstrate the restorative impact of sleep on heart rate control. As such they support the concept of cardiac neuroautonomic renewability and the utility of ΔHRF for its quantification.

Background: Heart rate fragmentation (HRF), a new non-invasive metric quantifying cardiac neuroautonomic function, is associated with increasing age and cardiovascular disease. Since these are risk factors for cognitive decline and dementia, in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA), we investigated whether disrupted cardiac neuroautonomic function, evidenced by increased HRF, would be associated with worse cognitive function assessed concurrently and at a later examination, and with greater cognitive decline.Methods: HRF was derived from the ECG channel of the polysomnographic recordings obtained in an ancillary study (n = 1,897) conducted in conjunction with MESA exam 5 (2010–2012). Cognitive function was assessed at exam 5 and 6.4 ± 0.5 years later at exam 6 (2016–2018) with tests of global cognitive performance (the Cognitive Abilities Screening Instrument, CASI), processing speed (Digit Symbol Coding, DSC) and working memory (Digit Span). Multivariable regression models were used to quantify the associations between HRF indices and cognitive scores.Results: The participants’ mean age was 68 ± 9 years (54% female). Higher HRF at baseline was independently associated with lower cognitive scores at both exams 5 and 6. Specifically, in cross-sectional analyses, a one-standard deviation (SD) (13.7%) increase in HRF was associated with a 0.51 (95% CI: 0.17–0.86) points reduction in CASI and a 1.12 (0.34–1.90) points reduction in DSC. Quantitatively similar effects were obtained in longitudinal analyses. A one-SD increase in HRF was associated with a 0.44 (0.03–0.86) and a 1.04 (0.28–1.81) points reduction in CASI and DSC from exams 5 to 6, respectively. HRF added predictive value to the Cardiovascular Risk Factors, Aging, and Incidence of Dementia (CAIDE-APOE-ε4) risk score and to models adjusted for serum concentration of NT-proBNP, an analyte associated with cognitive impairment and dementia.Conclusion: Increased HRF assessed during sleep was independently associated with diminished cognitive performance (concurrent and future) and with greater cognitive decline. These findings lend support to the links between cardiac neuroautonomic regulation and cognitive function. As a non-invasive, repeatable and inexpensive probe, HRF technology may be useful in monitoring cognitive status, predicting risk of dementia and assessing therapeutic interventions.

This study is the first demonstration that heart rate fragmentation (HRF), a marker of anomalous sinoatrial dynamics, is an independent predictor of atrial fibrillation (AF). Traditional measures of heart rate variability and two widely used nonlinear measures were not associated with incident AF in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis. Fragmentation measures added value to the strongest contemporary predictors of AF, including ECG-derived parameters, coronary calcification score, serum concentrations of NH₂-terminal prohormone B-type natriuretic peptide, and supraventricular ectopy. The computational algorithms for quantification of HRF could be readily incorporated into wearable ECG monitoring devices.

This perspectives article discusses the use of a novel set of dynamical biomarkers in the assessment of biological versus chronological age. The basis for this development is a recently delineated property of altered sinoatrial pacemaker-neuroautonomic function, termed heart rate fragmentation (HRF). Fragmented rhythms manifest as an increase in the density of changes in heart rate acceleration sign, not mechanistically explicable by physiological cardiac vagal tone modulation. We reported that HRF increased monotonically with cross-sectional age and that HRF measures, but not conventional heart rate variability metrics, were significantly associated with major incident cardiovascular events in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA). Furthermore, HRF measures added value to both Framingham and MESA cardiovascular risk indices. Here, we propose that interventions that fundamentally slow or reverse the pace of biological aging, via system-wide effects, should be associated with a decrease in the degree of HRF and possibly with a reemergence of the nonfragmented (“fluent”) patterns associated with more youthful heart rate dynamics.

Background: A major objective of precision medicine is the elucidation of non-invasive biomarkers of cardiovascular (CV) risk. Recently, we introduced a new dynamical marker of sino-atrial instability, termed heart rate fragmentation (HRF), which outperformed traditional and nonlinear heart rate variability metrics in separating ostensibly healthy subjects from patients with coronary artery disease. Accordingly, we hypothesized that HRF may be a dynamical biomarker of adverse cardiovascular events (CVEs). Methods: This study employed data from a cohort of participants in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA), a prospective study of sub-clinical heart disease. Interbeat interval time series (n = 1963), derived from the electrocardiographic channel of the polysomnogram study, were analyzed using the newly introduced metrics of fragmentation, as well as traditional heart rate variability (HRV) indices and the short-term detrended fluctuation analysis exponent. Cox regression analysis was used to assess the association between HR dynamic indices and CV outcomes in unadjusted and adjusted models. Results: The mean (± SD) follow-up time was 2.97 ± 0.63 years. In adjusted models, higher fragmentation was significantly associated with incident CVEs (number of events; hazard ratio [95% confidence interval]: n = 72, 1.43 [1.16–1.76]) and CV death (n = 21; 1.65 [1.15–2.36]). The traditional HRV and the fractal indices were not associated with CVEs or CV death. The most discriminatory fragmentation indices added significant value to Framingham and MESA CV risk indices in all analyses. Conclusion: Our findings show that HRF has promise as a non-invasive, automatable biomarker of CV risk. The basic mechanisms underlying fragmentation remain to be delineated. Its association with incident outcomes raises the possibility of connections to degenerative changes in the multisystem network controlling SAN function.