Sara Raccagni

In recent years, the application of machine learning for virtual sensing has revolutionized the monitoring and management of information. In particular, electrochemical sensors generate large amounts of data, allowing the application of complex machine learning/AI models able to (1) reproduce the measured data and (2) predict and manage faults in the measuring sensor. In this work, data-driven models based on an autoregressive model and an artificial neural network have been identified and used to (i) evaluate sensor redundancy and (ii) predict and manage faults in the context of electrochemical sensors for the measurement of ethanol. The approach shows encouraging results in terms of both performance and sensitivity analyses, allowing for the reconstruction of the values measured by two sensors in a series of six sensors with different dopant levels and to reproduce their values after a fault.

Models are a core element in performing local estimation of the climate change input. In this work, a novel approach to perform a fast downscaling of global temperature anomalies on a regional level is presented. The approach is based on a set of data-driven models linking global temperature anomalies and regional and global emissions to regional temperature anomalies. In particular, due to the limited number of available data, a linear autoregressive structure with exogenous input (ARX) has been considered. To demonstrate their relevance to the existing literature and context, the proposed ARX models have been employed to evaluate the impact of temperature anomalies on rice production in a socially, economically, and climatologically fragile area like Southeast Asia. The results show a significant impact on this region, with estimations strongly in accordance with information presented in the literature from different sources and scientific fields. The work represents a first step towards the development of a fast, data-driven, holistic approach to the climate change impact evaluation problem. The proposed ARX data-driven models reveal a novel and feasible way to downscale global temperature anomalies to regional levels, showing their importance in comprehending global temperature anomalies, emissions, and regional climatic conditions.